Daily Report – 2026-11-13


S&P 500 Report

Top 10 Contributors


S&P 500: 7561.67 | πŸ“‰ Down (-0.57%)

Market Structure Score


37/100

Weak Structure
Multiple internal measures are deteriorating, suggesting an elevated probability of continued weakness.

πŸ” Regime shift: Weak / Risk-Off β†’ Neutral
Market Summary
Executive Summary

Constituent breadth exceeded capitalization-weighted participation, indicating that advances were more widespread by stock count than their contribution to the index would suggest. Internal confirmation remains limited, reducing confidence in the durability of the current market character.

Market Character

Underlying market conditions have weakened sufficiently to raise questions about the durability of the current trend. The Market Structure Score of 37/100 reflects low confidence in this assessment.

Participation

⬥ 318 of 502 stocks advanced (β–²63.3%)
⬥ 175 stocks declined (β–Ό34.9%)
⬥ 9 stocks unchanged
⬥ Participation improved versus recent sessions.
⬥ Negative contributions accounted for more than half of total absolute index contributions.

At least half of constituents advanced, but negative contributions outweighed positive contributions on a capitalization-weighted basis, indicating that downside pressure more than offset gains elsewhere.

Leadership

Leadership continued to rotate across sectors, but weakening participation and internal confirmation suggest the rotation is becoming less supportive of the broader market trend.

Risk Assessment

Rapid leadership rotation suggests institutional conviction remains fluid. Breadth continues to lag headline index performance. The combined breadth and capitalization-weighted participation measure remains subdued, limiting the quality of index-level confirmation. Trading conviction remains below recent norms. Average losses among declining stocks exceeded average gains among advancing stocks. Should these conditions deteriorate further, confidence in the current market assessment would likely weaken.

Outlook

The outlook remains cautious until participation broadens, leadership stabilizes, and internal confirmation begins to recover.

Bottom Line

The weight of the internal evidence continues to support a narrow momentum leadership market environment with low confidence. While short-term price fluctuations are inevitable, sustained improvement in participation and leadership would reinforce the current assessment, whereas renewed deterioration in market internals would warrant a more defensive interpretation.

Market Signals

▶ πŸ“‰ Cap-weighted participation remained weak.

▶ βœ… Top-five contribution concentration remained relatively low.

▶ πŸ”„ Leadership rotation accelerated.

▶ πŸš€ Participation expanded sharply from the previous session.

▶ βœ… Participation exceeded capitalization leadership.

▶ πŸ“‰ Declining stocks showed greater magnitude than advancing stocks.

Top Contributors (>0.01%)

Ticker Return Contribution Share Impact_Efficiency Rank
META 2.90% 0.06% 4.24% 0.021070 1
AAPL 0.39% 0.03% 1.91% 0.070144 2
LLY 1.14% 0.02% 1.08% 0.013687 3
JPM 0.98% 0.01% 0.88% 0.012866 4
WMT 1.51% 0.01% 0.83% 0.007925 5
V 1.30% 0.01% 0.74% 0.008265 6

Definitions:

Contribution – The weighted impact of a stock’s return on the overall index move
(weight Γ— return). This reflects how much each stock actually moved the index.

Share – The proportion of total index movement attributable to a given stock.
Higher values indicate outsized influence relative to peers.

Impact Efficiency – The ratio of contribution to return, highlighting how effectively
a stock’s price move translates into index impact (primarily driven by index weight).


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